Lib Dem Third Place
Wednesday 28th April, 2010 00:00 Comments: 3
It's okay everyone, normal service with the Lib Dems in third place will resume very shortly.
Some of the latest polls are showing Labour equal with or just above the Lib Dems. The ComRes result, with Labour and Lib Dems equal, indicates a hung parliament with Labour as the largest party, with 279 seats. The Tories would have 244 seats, and the Lib Dems 96. YouGov indicates Labour is 1% above the Lib Dems, with Labour the largest party on 282 seats, the Tories next with 247 seats, and the Lib Dems with 90 seats. Populus has Conservatives up four to 36% with Lib Dems down three (28%) and Labour down one (27%), which suggests that more Lib Dem supporters may be considering the Conservatives than Labour. I'm interested in the result of the next Ipsos MORI result.
With over a week to go, I wouldn't be surprised if support for the Lib Dems (if it ever really existed) drops even further, with most people voting Labour or Conservative. Clegg's suggestion of a coalition with the Conservatives (with Clegg presumably as deputy PM) appears to have put off many voters, and I suspect others that are keen to see the back of Labour aren't happy with the suggestion of a Lib-Lab coalition with Clegg as PM. Aim gun at foot... shoot.
But the Institute for Fiscal Studies have the Lib Dems in first place for their economic plans. The Conservatives apparently have the biggest black hole. Mr Cameron has set out plans to cut borrowing by more than his rivals over the next few years. He has set out public spending cuts of only £11.3 billion and tax rises of about £11 billion. However, there is a £52.4 billion gap in the spending plans. The Labour black hole is estimated at £44.1 billion, while the Lib Dems have the smallest unexplained gap, estimated at £34.5 billion. However, the IFS described some of the Lib Dem plans as "highly speculative".
Some of the latest polls are showing Labour equal with or just above the Lib Dems. The ComRes result, with Labour and Lib Dems equal, indicates a hung parliament with Labour as the largest party, with 279 seats. The Tories would have 244 seats, and the Lib Dems 96. YouGov indicates Labour is 1% above the Lib Dems, with Labour the largest party on 282 seats, the Tories next with 247 seats, and the Lib Dems with 90 seats. Populus has Conservatives up four to 36% with Lib Dems down three (28%) and Labour down one (27%), which suggests that more Lib Dem supporters may be considering the Conservatives than Labour. I'm interested in the result of the next Ipsos MORI result.
With over a week to go, I wouldn't be surprised if support for the Lib Dems (if it ever really existed) drops even further, with most people voting Labour or Conservative. Clegg's suggestion of a coalition with the Conservatives (with Clegg presumably as deputy PM) appears to have put off many voters, and I suspect others that are keen to see the back of Labour aren't happy with the suggestion of a Lib-Lab coalition with Clegg as PM. Aim gun at foot... shoot.
But the Institute for Fiscal Studies have the Lib Dems in first place for their economic plans. The Conservatives apparently have the biggest black hole. Mr Cameron has set out plans to cut borrowing by more than his rivals over the next few years. He has set out public spending cuts of only £11.3 billion and tax rises of about £11 billion. However, there is a £52.4 billion gap in the spending plans. The Labour black hole is estimated at £44.1 billion, while the Lib Dems have the smallest unexplained gap, estimated at £34.5 billion. However, the IFS described some of the Lib Dem plans as "highly speculative".
Robert - Monday 3rd May, 2010 01:36 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/election-2010/7670867/General-Election-2010-Tories-rule-out-Lib-Dem-alliance.html
Yesterday, polls showed Liberal Democrat support had fallen significantly over the past week – with the party falling back into third place – while the Conservatives have a clear lead over Labour.
The ICM survey for the Sunday Telegraph showed Nick Clegg’s party dropping four points since a similar survey last week to slump into third place behind Labour, with the Tories on 36 per cent, Labour on 29 per cent and the Lib Dems on 27 per cent. If repeated at the election on an even swing across the country, the figures would leave David Cameron at the head of the largest party in the House of Commons with 279 MPs – 47 short of an outright majority.
Meanwhile, a ComRes poll for the Sunday Mirror and Independent on Sunday gave the Conservatives a 10-point lead – their largest advantage in a poll by the company since February. It put the Tories on 38 per cent, Labour on 28 per cent and the Liberal Democrats 25 per cent.
The ICM survey for the Sunday Telegraph showed Nick Clegg’s party dropping four points since a similar survey last week to slump into third place behind Labour, with the Tories on 36 per cent, Labour on 29 per cent and the Lib Dems on 27 per cent. If repeated at the election on an even swing across the country, the figures would leave David Cameron at the head of the largest party in the House of Commons with 279 MPs – 47 short of an outright majority.
Meanwhile, a ComRes poll for the Sunday Mirror and Independent on Sunday gave the Conservatives a 10-point lead – their largest advantage in a poll by the company since February. It put the Tories on 38 per cent, Labour on 28 per cent and the Liberal Democrats 25 per cent.
The latest ComRes poll for ITV News and the Independent has the Conservatives down one from yesterday on 37%, Labour up one on 29%, and the Lib Dems up one on 26%. ComRes interviewed 1,024 adults by telephone on 1 and 2 May.
YouGov's daily tracker for the Sun has the Tories up one on 35%. The Lib Dems are down one on 28%, level with Labour who are unchanged. YouGov questioned 1,455 people on 2 and 3 May.
Opinium, for tomorrow's Daily Express, puts the Conservatives down one point on 33%, Labour up three on 28%, and the Lib Dems down one on 27%. Opinium interviewed 1,807 adults online between 30 April and 3 May, and compared the results with last week.
YouGov's daily tracker for the Sun has the Tories up one on 35%. The Lib Dems are down one on 28%, level with Labour who are unchanged. YouGov questioned 1,455 people on 2 and 3 May.
Opinium, for tomorrow's Daily Express, puts the Conservatives down one point on 33%, Labour up three on 28%, and the Lib Dems down one on 27%. Opinium interviewed 1,807 adults online between 30 April and 3 May, and compared the results with last week.
The daily YouGov tracker for the Sun has the Tories unchanged on 35%, Labour up two on 30%, and the Lib Dems down four on 24%. YouGov surveyed 1,461 adults on 3 and 4 May. That works out as 261/288/72.
Sky have published the results of today’s ComRes poll for ITV and the Indy. The topline figures with changes from yesterday are CON 37%(nc), LAB 29%(nc), LDEM 26%(nc) – so no difference at all. That works out as 291/258/73.
Sky have published the results of today’s ComRes poll for ITV and the Indy. The topline figures with changes from yesterday are CON 37%(nc), LAB 29%(nc), LDEM 26%(nc) – so no difference at all. That works out as 291/258/73.